Predictable and profitable price patterns: Evidence from US interest rates

Authors

Vivek Moorthy

Document Type

Article

Publication Title

Economics Letters

Abstract

This paper detects a predictable response of short-term (Eurodollar) interest rate futures to US employment data during 1988-1993. A simulation with a trading rule derived from this predictable response generates systematic profits, thus violating the efficient markets hypothesis.

Publication Date

1-4-1996

Publisher

Elsevier

Volume

Vol.51

Issue

Iss.1

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